Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.534416 8.300004 9.117636 10.057152 11.108544 12.250721 13.587927
2025-10-26 6.094253 7.093748 8.229996 9.622395 11.289540 13.229953 15.671672
2025-11-02 5.075030 6.192931 7.534191 9.273167 11.484282 14.223286 17.906299
2025-11-09 4.314502 5.487591 6.963725 8.976674 11.679632 15.225472 20.298493
2025-11-16 3.750349 4.949456 6.524146 8.772146 11.945778 16.337141 22.998830
2025-11-23 3.326355 4.538605 6.193426 8.657192 12.300834 17.601380 26.103428
2025-11-30 3.054590 4.300070 6.063476 8.796083 13.022086 19.476823 30.415874
2025-12-07 2.761638 3.995699 5.800085 8.697527 13.362099 20.809078 34.085082
2025-12-14 2.485111 3.684371 5.489028 8.481370 13.477864 21.785474 37.308921
2025-12-21 2.286020 3.468811 5.298286 8.426974 13.839711 23.205000 41.540146
2025-12-28 2.166497 3.364197 5.268249 8.627232 14.651102 25.507213 47.812052
2026-01-04 2.054315 3.259341 5.224826 8.795208 15.420630 27.836432 54.568196
2026-01-11 1.921103 3.110520 5.098299 8.811511 15.932046 29.791050 61.032506
2026-01-18 1.784382 2.943512 4.924554 8.722319 16.231838 31.379003 67.050428
2026-01-25 1.656836 2.781135 4.743420 8.598295 16.446035 32.825539 73.065470
2026-02-01 1.539073 2.625922 4.560606 8.449985 16.590221 34.145249 79.074012
2026-02-08 1.438483 2.493154 4.406660 8.340698 16.800307 35.641574 85.864935
2026-02-15 1.354585 2.384018 4.286889 8.286362 17.120321 37.438102 93.863590
2026-02-22 1.305044 2.334720 4.276406 8.455565 17.958337 40.594826 106.366894
2026-03-01 1.232330 2.235477 4.159554 8.385882 18.239232 42.436388 115.585043
2026-03-08 1.152826 2.117117 3.994753 8.194477 18.207613 43.481583 122.690797
2026-03-15 1.095430 2.037830 3.902170 8.152773 18.531298 45.507932 133.407256
2026-03-22 1.065763 2.011476 3.915963 8.352892 19.482804 49.399172 151.352842